9步教你交易：買在起漲點，賣在最高點 - 互換：慣性改變的另一種標準圖

互換：慣性改變的另一種標準圖

Dec 10, 2024

1 Min Read

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互換的型態

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互換是價格走勢由空頭轉為多頭的一種型態：

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跌多 → 漲少 → 跌少 → 漲多 → 跌少 → 漲多

投資人通常會吃在最後一段的漲多，這是互換型態的最大特徵。

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練習

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1. 觀察慣性變化

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在價格走勢中，尋找明顯的跌多、漲少後逐步變為漲多的跡象。

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2. 記錄每段變化

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用簡單的塗鴉將每一段漲跌標記出來，確認型態是否符合互換。

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3. 確認漲多延續

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最後一段漲多應明顯強於前幾段，顯示慣性已完成轉變。

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注意事項

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互換型態要完整

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必須經歷完整的「跌多 → 漲少 → 跌少 → 漲多」過程，型態不完整不可判定為互換。

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漲多要明顯

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如果最後一段漲多不夠強，可能只是短期反彈，應謹慎判斷。

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避免過早介入

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在跌少或漲少階段進場風險較高，建議等待型態明確再做決策。

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應用

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規劃出場點

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當價格進入最後一段漲多時，可考慮逐步賣出鎖定利潤。

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辨識多頭信號

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互換型態是多頭轉強的明確標誌，可用於篩選具潛力的交易機會。

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避免追高

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雖然互換最後一段漲多吸引人，但過高的進場可能降低獲利空間。

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互換是辨識慣性改變的實用工具，掌握其型態特徵能幫助你在多頭初期提前卡位，或在漲多階段果斷出場。

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互換：慣性改變的另一種標準圖

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